Will it rain in
Melbourne today?
Live hourly rain forecast and run verdict for Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Running in Melbourne means preparing for four seasons in one day — the city's famous for it. Whether it's a scorching northerly wind, a sudden cool change sweeping through the Tan, or drizzle along the Yarra that wasn't in the forecast, knowing whether to head out before you lace up matters. RainOrRun checks live conditions in Melbourne right now and gives you an instant verdict — plus the best hourly window if the weather's on the fence. We'll also recommend the right gear for whatever Melbourne's notoriously unpredictable weather is throwing at you today.
What to wear
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How often does it rain in Melbourne?
Melbourne records around 740mm of rain a year, spread across about 122 days — roughly 33% of all days, or 10 days in an average month. That puts Melbourne mid-pack: rain interrupts roughly one run in three, so it pays to check the hourly forecast before a long run, but you will not be running in waterproofs week after week.
The wettest month is November, averaging 81mm across about 11 rainy days. The driest is February, with 32mm over roughly 6 days. Average lows bottom out around 6.4°C in July — long-sleeve and light-glove weather rather than full winter kit. Summer highs peak around 26.4°C in January, comfortable for most daytime running.
Those are ten-year averages, not a forecast. What actually matters on the day is the next twelve hours — which is what the live verdict and hourly strip at the top of this page are for.
| Month | Rainfall | Rainy days | Avg high | Avg low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 72mm | 8 | 26.4°C | 15.3°C |
| February | 32mm | 6 | 25.5°C | 14.5°C |
| March | 38mm | 7 | 24°C | 13.8°C |
| April | 65mm | 9 | 20.1°C | 10.8°C |
| May | 61mm | 11 | 16.2°C | 8.6°C |
| June | 61mm | 11 | 13.7°C | 6.6°C |
| July | 56mm | 13 | 13.2°C | 6.4°C |
| August | 60mm | 13 | 14.3°C | 6.9°C |
| September | 67mm | 12 | 16.6°C | 7.8°C |
| October | 80mm | 12 | 19.6°C | 9.3°C |
| November | 81mm | 11 | 21.7°C | 11.5°C |
| December | 67mm | 9 | 24.5°C | 13.1°C |
Historical data: Open-Meteo archive, 2015–2024. A “rainy day” means at least 1mm of precipitation.
Running in Melbourne: common questions
Will it rain in Melbourne today?
The forecast card at the top of this page shows Melbourne's rain probability for the current hour, plus an hour-by-hour breakdown for the rest of the day, using live Open-Meteo data. Historically, Melbourne sees rain on about 122 days a year, so on any given day there is roughly a 33% chance of some rain falling.
Is it a good day to run in Melbourne?
RainOrRun scores the live Melbourne forecast on rain probability, rainfall amount, temperature, wind speed and severe weather, then returns a single verdict: Go, Maybe, or Don't Bother. A Maybe means conditions are borderline and it is worth picking your window rather than skipping the run.
What is the best time to run in Melbourne today?
The hourly strip above highlights the best single window of the day for Melbourne — the hour combining the lowest rain probability with the most comfortable temperature. You can also check up to eight days ahead using the date picker if you are planning a long run or a race.
What should I wear running in Melbourne today?
The gear section on this page updates with the live Melbourne forecast: a waterproof jacket and peaked cap when rain probability goes above 40%, a thermal base layer and gloves below 8 degrees Celsius, and a high-vis vest when wind or low light make you harder to see.
What is the wettest month in Melbourne?
November is the wettest month in Melbourne, averaging 81mm of rain across about 11 rainy days. February is the driest, with around 32mm over roughly 6 days. Figures are ten-year averages covering 2015 to 2024.
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